Friday, November 10, 2006
Election Predictions Update
Other than saying the Dems would not win 40 seats, my predictions were pretty worthless. I thought the narrowing trend would continue but it did not. The Republicans lost 28 seats overall.
Funny, but all the liberal bloggers were telling us to expect a 40 to 50 seat blow out of the GOP. Arizona Senator Kyle was supposed to lose his race. Kyle was returned to Washington. Michele Bachmann (Minnesota 6) was supposed to lose but didn't. John Doolittle (California 4) was supposed to lose, but didn't and so on.
A majority or races decided by 5,000 votes or fewer went to Republican candidates, at least as of now. There are 11 races awaiting recounts, provisonal ballot tallies etc.
A blowout was what Democrats themselves suffered in 1994 when 34 of their incumbents lost and their party lost 54 seats total. In 2006, the Democratic landslide was effectively confined to Indiana, Ohio, upstate New York, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania.
|posted by Jim on 1:56 AM|
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